ELECTION 2015: New polls paint different pictures in North Okanagan-Shuswap
By Charlotte Helston
From left to right: Conservative candidate Mel Arnold, Liberal candidate Cindy Derkaz, Green candidate Chris George and NDP candidate Jacqui Gingras.
Image Credit: Composite/ Jennifer Stahn
October 14, 2015 - 10:30 AM
VERNON - Hot on the heels of a poll released by local citizens, two other groups have commissioned surveys and the findings show mixed results.
The latest poll, conducted by Mainstreet Technologies and funded by Liberal candidate Cindy Derkaz’s campaign team, found 38 per cent of decided voters plan to vote for Conservative candidate Mel Arnold. That’s the same finding as the Oraclepoll Research survey funded by local citizens, but where the polls differ is in Liberal and NDP support.
The Oraclepoll survey put 41 per cent of people planning to vote NDP and 12 per cent Liberal, but the new poll commissioned by the Liberal team says it’s much closer at 22 per cent for the NDP and 20 per cent for the Liberals.
“Clearly, NDP support in our riding is fading fast, just as it is fading nationally,” Derkaz says in a press release.
Meanwhile, the results of a third poll, conducted Oct. 9 to 11 by a group called Leadnow, put decided voters at 37 per cent NDP, 33 per cent Conservative, 22 per cent Liberal and eight per cent Green, with five per cent undecided.
The Mainstreet Technologies poll was conducted on Oct. 10 and surveyed a total of 567 people. Participants were interviewed using random number selection, and the margin of error in the results is said to be plus or minus 4.1 per cent, 19 times out of 20.
In the Oraclepoll Research survey, a total of 312 people were called and interviewed at random. That poll is said to be accurate within 5.5 per cent plus or minus, 19 times out of 20.
Leadnow commissioned Environics to conduct Interactive Voice Response telephone surveys of 755 randomly selected people. The margin of error is said to be 3.6 per cent plus or minus, 19 times out of 20.
Historically, the North Okanagan-Shuswap has been a strong Conservative riding. In the 2011 election, Conservative Colin Mayes won with 55 per cent of the vote.
To contact the reporter for this story, email Charlotte Helston at firstname.lastname@example.org or call 250-309-5230. To contact the editor, email email@example.com or call 250-718-2724.
News from © InfoTel News Ltd, 2015